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Home > By DEPARTMENTS > Leadership and Governance for Sustainability > Risk Management by Governance

Southern California Earthquake Prep and Shakeout Predictions

Earthquake preparedness is part of risk management for corporations, communities and families. This comprehensive analysis provides scientific framework for disaster planning.

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Risk Management of Earthquake Catastrophies

Scientists recently unveiled a hypothetical scenario describing how a magnitude-7.8 Southern California earthquake — similar to the recent earthquake in China — would impact the region.

Impacts include loss of lives and massive damage to infrastructure, including critical transportation, power, and water systems. In the scenario, the earthquake would kill 1800 people, injure 50,000, cause $200 billion in damage, and have long-lasting social and economic consequences.

This is the most comprehensive analysis ever of what a major Southern California earthquake would mean, and is the scientific framework for what will be the largest earthquake preparedness drill in California history, scheduled for November 13, 2008.

A copy of the full technical report “The ShakeOut Scenario” is available online at pubs.usgs.gov, and a non-technical summary narrative is online at pubs.usgs.gov/circ. Paper copies of the narrative are available by request. High-resolution images and a computer animation showing the scenario earthquake rupture and the waves of energy spreading across Southern California are online at urbanearth.usgs.gov/shakeout.



Edited by Carolyn Allen, owner/editor of California Green Solutions
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