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California Population Growth Trends for 2011+

California population is projected to grow at a 5.5% five year growth rate. Senior population will be the fastest growing!

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Governor Jerry Brown has released a massive set of changes to California's budget and ways of governance. Along with his proposed budget and tax changes, his office has released a wealth of population and economic statistics that could be helpful for your planning.

For example:

By July 2015, California will add more than 2.1 million people to reach nearly 41 million, a five‑year growth rate of 5.5 percent. The Department of Finance’s last long‑term projection series, conducted prior to the recession, predicts that California will exceed 50 million by 2032.

However, recent slower population growth if continued could delay that projected date by several years.

Population growth rates vary significantly by age group.

The state’s projected total five‑year population growth is 5.5 percent.

  • 0.1% growth in the preschool age group - births have fallen sharply for calendar years 2008 and 2009. This is by far the slowest growing age group over the next five years.

    Both the school‑age group and the college‑age group increase about half as fast as the total population with growth rates of

  • 2.3% for school-age group
  • 2.6% college age group

  • 5.5% growth of working‑age population (1.1 million).
  • 17% growth in retirement‑age group, those over 65... WOW!
Learn more about California's budget and background information at

These population sector shifts can significantly shift business and service profiles and projections. For example: lower birth rates will decrease the need for daycare centers, pediatricians, and baby retailers.

Dramatic increases in seniors will affect the need for senior-friendly jobs, investment management services, senior housing, public transportation, geriatric health care, and new ways for families to care for their elders in cost effective ways.

Demographics impact community profiles -- from tourism to retirement communities, etc. and business product and service innovation areas as well as human resources policies, stragies and training options.

And demographics also affect the tax base -- so who pays what will also shift to pay for the shifting services that are required to match the aging population's needs and abilities to participate in community productivity.

Together we can innovate and cope with these significant changes.

Edited by Carolyn Allen
| california | California population |


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